{"id":138613,"date":"2026-03-25T13:09:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T13:09:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/americansecuritiesanalytics.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/25\/xmr-price-faces-70-crash-risk-after-brutal-380-rejection\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T13:09:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T13:09:00","slug":"xmr-price-faces-70-crash-risk-after-brutal-380-rejection","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/americansecuritiesanalytics.com\/index.php\/2026\/03\/25\/xmr-price-faces-70-crash-risk-after-brutal-380-rejection\/","title":{"rendered":"XMR Price Faces 70% Crash Risk After Brutal $380 Rejection"},"content":{"rendered":"

The post XMR Price Faces 70% Crash Risk After Brutal $380 Rejection<\/a> appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News<\/a><\/p>\n

XMR price just ran straight into a wall again and it seems its not a soft one this time. After tapping $380, Monero price didn\u2019t consolidate much or cool off gracefully. It got rejected hard and displayed a red ocean inside an ascending channel. The kind of rejection that flips sentiment almost instantly and turns a bullish setup into a looming downside narrative.<\/p>\n

And now? Investors are staring at a potential 70% downside from the current market price of $338.72. Yeah, that escalated quickly because that’s how continuation patterns work.<\/p>\n

Bearish Pattern Signals Breakdown Risk<\/h2>\n

The recent move looks like it played out inside an ascending parallel channel to which normally a bullish-looking setup at first glance in short term view feeds to the unconscious state of mind that a reversal may arise from this channel’s lower border. <\/p>\n

But here\u2019s the twist: in most cases, it acts as a bearish continuation pattern. And right now, that\u2019s exactly how it\u2019s behaving and has more odds because after a big declining momentum it needed a rest, it consolidated in the channel and now its ready to decline again.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

Price has already started curling downward. More importantly, it\u2019s stuck below the 200-day EMA, which isn\u2019t where bulls want to hang out if they\u2019re serious about control.<\/p>\n

So, what\u2019s the line in the sand? Its $315 the lower border of this channel we are discussing.<\/p>\n

If that level cracks, the downside targets line up quickly first at $173, then a deeper slide toward $104. That\u2019s where the \u201c70% crash\u201d narrative starts to look less like clickbait and more like a mapped-out scenario.<\/p>\n

On-Chain Activity Quietly Weakening<\/h2>\n

But charts aren\u2019t the only problem here. Under the hood, Monero crypto\u2019s network activity<\/a> is losing steam. Back in mid-January, daily transactions were pushing close to 40,000. Fast forward to now, and that number has dropped to around 25,705 per day.<\/p>\n

On an hourly basis, that averages roughly 1,071 transactions. That\u2019s not catastrophic yet but it\u2019s a clear decline. And for a network that thrives on utility, especially its a privacy-focused token and its transactions falling<\/a> which really matters at this point.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

It suggests fewer users. Less demand. And ultimately, less strength supporting XMR price.<\/p>\n

Now layer in mining and things get even more complicated. Mining profitability has also taken a hit, falling from 0.0485 in mid-January to around 0.0251 currently. That\u2019s a significant drop in a relatively short time.<\/p>\n

Why does that matter? Because miners<\/a> are part of its ecosystem\u2019s backbone. If profitability shrinks, incentives weaken. And when incentives weaken, network participation can follow.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not an immediate collapse trigger but it\u2019s definitely not a bullish tailwind either.<\/p>\n

<\/figure>\n

XMR Price Outlook Turning Increasingly Fragile<\/h2>\n

Since its caught between a weakening chart structure and softening on-chain metrics. Not exactly the combo any investor want if they\u2019re betting on upside continuation.<\/p>\n

Sure, support at $315 could still hold. Markets don\u2019t move in straight lines. But if it doesn\u2019t, the downside path is already laid out and it\u2019s steep.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s the uncomfortable reality right now. XMR price analysis<\/a> shows that it isn\u2019t just cooling off infact the reality is that it\u2019s at risk of collapsing heavily if key levels fail to hold.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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